Can Trump TV Succeed?

.. The presidential candidate is reportedly considering a return to the networks once his run is over. It just might work.

Trump “has become irked by his ability to create revenue for other media organizations without being able to take a cut himself,” the story reads. “Such a situation ‘brings him to the conclusion that he has the business acumen and the ratings for his own network.’”

.. Of the more than 13 million people who backed him in the presidential primary, surely some would be attracted to a channel he creates. Just as Trump has found a base that’s dissatisfied by the major political parties, he might be able to attract an audience who feel underserved by the major networks.

..  Philip Napoli, a Rutgers University professor who studies media, thinks a Trump channel could draw an audience, at least at first. The Trump camp’s relationship with Fox News—the back-and-forth between war(s)and peace—proved something: “You can further segment the conservative-news audience, [and] there’s a sizeable segment” Trump could use “to position a network in opposition to Fox News.”

.. It’s difficult to see Trump giving up the limelight. Discussions of a network “would mark perhaps the most reasonable and logical step that the candidate has taken in the year since he launched his candidacy,”

..For one, Trump voters tend to be older and whiter than the general population, just like cable-news viewers. Napoli can envision Trump “cannibalizing” the Fox News audience and, in the angry aftermath of a Hillary Clinton victory, being a “voice for all these disaffected and disappointed voters who didn’t get what they wanted.” Napoli suggested that partisan media becomes more popular when the targeted audience’s party isn’t in power, which would work to Trump’s advantage. As a Republican-friendly network, Fox News would no doubt give airtime to frustrations with another Democrat in the White House. But that might not be enough rage for Trump supporters.

.. People who watch Fox News tend to like politics, Levendusky explained, but many Trump supporters have expressed they are tired of politics entirely.

.. Napoli said politicians have been trying for decades to circumvent journalists:

.. Trump’s potential TV channel, Napoli said, seems to be “part of the ongoing process … to try to marginalize actual journalists.”

Paul Ryan Has a Plan, But No One Is Listening

Donald Trump’s oafish hegemony over the news cycle leaves little room for the House speaker’s earnest pleas to talk about congressional policy.

..  The event generated no buzz—unlike Ryan’s press conference that day, in which he rejected Trump’s call for a ban on Muslim immigrants. That definitely got people’s attention.

.. It’s hard enough getting people to embrace complicated policy debates in normal times. How the heck is Ryan supposed to get anyone focused on reform when there is a trash-talking, thin-skinned, bomb-throwing carnival barker busy turning the presidential race into the political equivalent of The Jersey Shore?

.. After its scorching affair with Trump, Republican voters may well find themselves ready for a more boring suitor—one whose idea of sexy talk involves an in-depth critique of Article One authority.

Why Donald Trump’s media dominance is actually hurting him

Might it be that the most compelling case against Donald Trump is Donald Trump himself?

.. As Clinton spokesperson Brian Fallon told the Plum Line two weeks ago, Trump “commands the news coverage because of his willingness to traffic in offensive statements, demeaning and insulting comments, and outrageous conspiracy theories. That is a recipe for commanding attention. But it is not a strategy for making inroads with the key voter groups he needs in order to improve his standing for the general election.”

Cruz strategist: Trump has a math problem

Jeff Roe, Ted Cruz’s campaign manager, tells ‘Off Message’ that Trump’s allergy to analytics could be fatal.

 Media share is the top predictor of electoral success.

Ted Cruz won Iowa but was third after Iowa, behind Rubio and Ben Carson.

We felt if we got him “heads up” we could win.

Fox only showed 7 minutes out of 13 minutes Iowa speech.  Then switched to map showing how Trump could win.

When its raining soup, put a bowl on your head: my grandfather.

Romney had 2 segments.  Obama had 9.  We had thousands of segments. (49-51 min)