Rick Wilson, “Everything Trump Touches Dies”

37:45
for you’ve said you’ve said often that
37:48
it is you’ve said often that you do not
37:51
see the Republican the Republican House
37:54
in particular ever turning on Trump is
37:56
there any hypothesis where you can
37:59
imagine them hitting rock bottom
38:01
I know let me let me let me describe one
for you Donald Trump performs an
abortion as in culture went set on the
White House lawn while taking a sack of
money from Vladimir Putin then eating a
been eating a dog and then declaring
he’s a Sharia Muslim and and and
advocating for gay marriage to Stephen
Miller in that case there might be a
moment of pause what could happen by
Tuesday at this rate well both the
amplitude and the frequency of the crazy
is getting larger at all at all points
38:32

‘The emergence of a third party is among us’ – Interview with Lincoln Project Co-Founder Rick Wilson

Joe Biden won the US presidential election with 306 electoral votes. But incumbent President Donald Trump has yet to concede, and the Republican Party seems to be at a crossroads after four years of Trumpism. What direction will the GOP take going forward?
The Lincoln Project’s Rick Wilson offers a very bleak outlook into the GOP’s future. He says ‘the Republican party has sold out itself to Trump’ and what follows Trump will be more dangerous, because it will be more sophisticated.

00:00
trump supporters rallying for him again
00:03
they won’t accept that their president
00:04
lost the elections
00:06
and they’re determined to keep him as
00:08
their leader
00:09
around 73 million americans voted for
00:12
trump
00:13
making them a formidable force of force
00:15
that also
00:16
threatens to run out of control
00:19
he loves america he loves america he
00:22
does not quit on america
00:24
and that’s why america will not quit on
00:26
him
00:27
i’d like trump to start a new party if
00:30
he wanted to
00:31
the republican party is changing real
00:32
fast so we’re
00:34
we’re gonna be represented by the
00:35
soldiers the veterans uh the
00:37
hard-working people of this country
00:39
not by the corrupt politicians that sit
00:42
up here and get fat on our money
00:44
and steal everything from us
00:48
there are many who want to take the
00:49
republican party down a more
00:51
moderate path to strengthen their case
00:54
they talk about this man abraham lincoln
00:58
he was the president who won the civil
01:00
war and ended slavery
01:02
and he was a republican he is the man
01:05
anti-trump republicans turn to when they
01:08
want to invoke
01:09
reason and moral values into present day
01:12
arguments
01:14
the lincoln project is a political
01:16
action committee
01:17
set up by former republicans to prevent
01:20
donald trump
01:21
being re-elected i want to hear their
01:24
thoughts on the future of the gop
01:26
from rick wilson one of the co-founders
01:29
how could donald trump happen
01:33
well donald trump was not just about the
01:35
republican party it was about american
01:36
culture
01:37
and this is a country that has become
01:39
largely addicted to
01:41
and mediated by reality television and
01:44
so
01:44
the man they saw on the apprentice for
01:46
14 years
01:48
on television looked competent smart
01:52
steady brilliant negotiator great deal
01:54
maker great businessman
01:56
of course we all know in the real world
01:59
that was never
01:59
even close to donald trump’s actual
02:01
character or who he really is
02:03
as a person and a leader but that was
02:06
something that
02:07
between fox and reality television
02:09
republican voters were insulated in this
02:12
uh sphere of irreality of fantasy
02:16
and so donald trump uh reached the
02:19
republican
02:20
presidential stage at a moment where
02:24
where republican voters had become
02:25
increasingly isolated from reality of
02:27
any kind
02:28
and had become increasingly addicted to
02:30
the kind of defiant
02:32
uh oppositional nature of
02:35
fox news and of their own facebook
02:38
groups and their own online
02:39
communities and as those moments um
02:43
you know evolved in the 2016 election
02:46
it became harder and harder for actual
02:48
republicans who had
02:50
you know the ideological predicates of
02:51
the past limited government
02:54
personal responsibility you know strong
02:56
international relations and good
02:58
relationships with our allies
03:00
all of those things were washed away
03:02
because donald trump
03:04
gave them entertainment and
03:07
i mean you you are a former republican
03:10
was there any sense
03:12
how dangerous it could be letting him
03:15
in well i was screaming about how
03:18
dangerous he was since 2015
03:21
and by the by the middle of his
03:24
administration by around 2018
03:26
there had been a massive schism in the
03:28
party there were only two types of
03:30
people left
03:31
those who understood how dangerous he
03:33
was and would speak
03:34
and the vast majority who understood how
03:36
dangerous he was and wouldn’t speak
03:38
you know there’s there’s a secret here
03:40
that most republicans the vast majority
03:42
of the elected officials
03:44
do not like donald trump they are not
03:45
trumpists they are afraid of them
03:48
but they don’t like him they don’t
03:49
regard him or admire him
03:51
now i will say that that doesn’t fix the
03:53
problem
03:54
because with donald trump there is never
03:58
a limit to which he will press these
03:59
folks as we saw this week in america
04:02
where
04:02
17 republican attorneys general in the
04:05
states
04:05
um went out and and pushed hard
04:09
to to have the supreme court invalidate
04:13
the 2020
04:14
election now these people they’ve
04:16
abandoned
04:17
all of their you know former political
04:19
and ideological predicates
04:21
for trump uh and so what you’ve seen is
04:24
a radical transformation of the gop
04:26
into the trump party what what should
04:29
the gop
04:30
do with all these trump supporters i
04:32
mean 73 million voted for him maybe not
04:34
all trump supporters but
04:36
you know i mean what should what should
04:39
the
04:39
the gop do luckily it’s not my problem
04:42
anymore
04:44
you know good riddance um but look
04:47
they have to have a painful
04:49
reconciliation with what they have done
04:51
there has to be a look back at the way
04:54
they have corrupted the party on trump’s
04:56
behalf
04:57
and until they do that i don’t think
04:58
there’s a real solution
05:00
going forward because he has been such a
05:03
transformative figure
05:04
the republican base vote the republican
05:07
the ordinary republican voters there’s
05:09
only one thing they hate more
05:11
than a democrat and that’s a republican
05:13
who hates donald trump
05:15
and so they’re going to be driving the
05:18
party further and further into the
05:19
trumpet space which is authoritarian
05:21
which is nationalist which is highly
05:24
regimented around the obedience to the
05:26
dear leader
05:27
you know it has frightening historical
05:29
precedence and what i worry about as a
05:31
former republican and knowing the sort
05:32
of character of the people still in the
05:34
party
05:35
i’m worried about the more competent
05:37
smart
05:38
presentable version of trump that’s
05:40
going to come down the pike in a few
05:42
years
05:43
that to me is um
05:46
an enormously concerning uh impact of
05:48
trumpism
05:50
what could come out of that asking as a
05:52
german
05:53
well yeah what could go wrong as i like
05:56
to say
05:57
um yeah those sort of things as i said
06:00
there are a lot of historical precedents
06:02
that are not good
06:03
um and not just the german precedent
06:05
there are many many other nations
06:07
um that that have gone down this
06:09
authoritarian statism
06:11
uh and it always leads to an abuse of
06:15
power it always
06:16
at the minimum two abuses of power uh at
06:18
the maximum to the worst case scenarios
06:21
and and i’m afraid that trump has
06:24
conditioned a generation of republicans
06:26
to believe
06:27
that if they don’t get their way that
06:29
they don’t need to work within the
06:30
constitution of the united states that
06:32
they can go an extra constitutional
06:34
extrajudicial extra political route
06:36
which may involve violence
06:38
which may involve the generation of of
06:40
enormous risks
06:41
for the future of one of the world’s
06:43
longest running and
06:44
most robust democracies rick um
06:48
i talked to republicans i have the
06:50
feeling that they are not understanding
06:53
what is going on
06:54
no a lot of them when you’re talking
06:56
about reconciliation but
06:58
from what i i mean experienced the last
07:00
couple of days
07:01
working on this piece i think that they
07:03
don’t quite
07:04
get it no they they don’t understand it
07:07
and they don’t understand that that
07:10
without donald trump
07:12
as the figurehead of their party they’re
07:14
going to lose a meaningful number of
07:16
their own voters
07:18
those voters have become members of a
07:20
trumpist movement a faction
07:22
if you will and that’s not going to go
07:25
away
07:26
his son will pick up the mantle when
07:27
donald trump dies or his daughter
07:30
or people that imitate him very closely
07:33
uh will pick up that mantle and there’s
07:35
nothing that can be done
07:37
about that because the republican party
07:40
has sold itself to trump
07:41
there is no institutional republican
07:43
party left to push back against trumpism
07:46
what does that mean politically for the
07:49
united states and for the rest of the
07:51
world so to speak
07:52
well it means that we have a that the
07:54
emergence of a third party
07:56
in the us is is upon us and that party
07:59
is not
08:00
an american party that party is
08:02
dedicated to authoritarianism
08:04
that party is dedicated to the worship
08:05
of a single family
08:07
um that party is is oppositional
08:11
to anything that gets in their political
08:13
way and that opposition manifests itself
08:16
in ways that are not traditionally seen
08:18
in the american political space
08:20
look the american political space has
08:22
long had a center left
08:24
and a center right and and the the edges
08:28
of both parties
08:29
were not terribly influential and there
08:32
was always a tug of war
08:34
between those center left center right
08:35
voices now
08:37
we have a voice on the extreme right of
08:39
trumpism
08:40
which is um which is driven by again
08:43
that oppositional defiance
08:45
of traditional norms and values and laws
08:49
it’s driven by a hatred of immigrants a
08:52
hatred of
08:54
various races it’s driven by a hatred of
08:58
the elite the educated the experts um
09:01
and that’s a recipe for a country
09:04
that has a major political party that
09:06
does not look like anything we’ve had in
09:08
our history
09:09
there’s never been a true large scale
09:12
i mean we had you know george lincoln
09:15
rockwell
09:16
you know and then we had some of the and
09:18
you had lindbergh in the bund
09:20
back in the 30s that was growing into a
09:22
political force
09:24
but they never manifested at the level
09:26
that the trumpest party is manifesting
09:27
itself
09:28
and that’s something that is that is
09:30
concerning a lot of americans who
09:31
believe
09:32
regardless of their ideology whether
09:34
they’re conservative or progressive or
09:36
whether they’re
09:37
moderate or they’re liberal it’s
09:39
concerning a broad spectrum of americans
09:41
to say
09:42
you know this is a pathway that leads to
09:45
a very bad outcome in this country
09:47
and the concern is rising and it’s right
09:49
to be it’s right to be rising
09:51
and that’s why our group the lincoln
09:52
project has stayed in this fight
09:55
we we know that defeating donald trump
09:57
was only the first step
09:58
trumpism is a more dangerous and more
10:00
pernicious movement
10:02
than anyone could have accounted for
10:04
even a couple years ago
10:05
but it has this very powerful allies in
10:07
the media it has a very powerful ally in
10:10
facebook which allows
10:11
all these these alt-right and
10:14
proto-fascist and
10:16
and and openly fascist groups like the
10:18
proud boys
10:19
to to organize and to use it as a
10:22
bullhorn and to proselytize and
10:24
and to propagandize the american people
10:27
and so we’re seeing
10:28
uh an enormous risk that what follows
10:30
trump is is more dangerous
10:32
because it’s more sophisticated than
10:34
donald trump ever was
10:36
last question rick um what should uh
10:40
the western world learn from this
10:42
example
10:44
you know how dangerous is it when you go
10:45
to bed with the devil as we say you know
10:47
sure and get out of it so what what is
10:49
your message kind of you know
10:51
well look there is there is a clear
10:52
message for for folks in europe
10:54
uh especially because there is a rising
10:58
uh tide of rescission from the
11:00
democratic norms
11:01
that define sort of the atlantic charter
11:04
field and the the eu’s
11:06
uh original mission that recision is
11:08
happening
11:09
all over europe i mean you have erdogan
11:11
in turkey who
11:12
is essentially a dictator um you have
11:15
people
11:16
um who are very alt-right who are who
11:18
are trying to
11:19
you know put on a suit and tie and it’s
11:21
not just the clownish sort of le pen
11:23
types it’s you know people who appear
11:26
presentable who say some of the right
11:27
things
11:28
but who are part of this global
11:30
alt-right movement this global
11:31
this global rising tide will zombasha in
11:35
in albania of all things there’s a guy
11:38
who you know looks presentable he
11:40
doesn’t come out you know wearing a an
11:42
armband
11:43
but the things he says and wants to do
11:45
are enormously dangerous
11:47
if you’re going to look at modern
11:49
european democracies or modern or modern
11:51
western democracies
11:52
writ large and these risk factors have
11:55
appeared in
11:56
asia in south and central america in the
11:58
united states obviously
12:00
and across europe and that’s one of the
12:02
reasons that again our group is fighting
12:04
so hard
12:05
to to in america now
12:08
increasingly abroad to face these kind
12:11
of challenges
12:12
from this from this far right uh
12:15
racially inflected movement
12:16
that has grown i mean look if you look
12:18
at the governments of albania and poland
12:20
and hungary
12:21
you are not looking at things that that
12:23
that the post-war
12:25
consensus would have recognized um as
12:28
embracing the values that that we all
12:31
believed
12:31
shaped the western civilization in the
12:33
in the years after world war
12:34
ii and in the years after the collapse
12:36
of the soviet union
12:38
and so it’s enormously troubling it’s a
12:40
fight that we’re in now and we’re going
12:41
to be in for
12:42
for apparently quite a long time are
12:44
there any leaders in the republican
12:46
party who could kind of take over again
12:48
do you see any figures there may be
12:50
leaders in the republican
12:52
party but it’ll be a smaller party i
12:54
mean look there are guys like mitt
12:56
romney
12:56
and adam kinzinger uh and and some of
12:59
the folks in georgia
13:01
who have said no the president not you
13:03
know was not cheated
13:05
um but that courage is
13:08
is very rare few and far between
13:11
i mean when you’ve only got uh 27
13:14
members of congress in the republican
13:16
side who have acknowledged that joe
13:17
biden won the election
13:19
you’ve got a much smaller party than you
13:20
once had so
13:22
as the conservative side splits the
13:24
trumpist party will be
13:26
two-thirds to five-eighths uh of
13:30
of what was the gop and there’ll be a
13:31
smaller romney sort of republican party
13:35
and that’s not an effective um that’s
13:38
not an effective political party at the
13:39
national scale
13:40
at that point that’s a disturbing
13:42
outlook
13:44
yeah i don’t sleep a lot so and did you
13:48
see like
13:49
how do you schedule how do you kind of
13:51
see the next kind of two years or so
13:53
evolve
13:53
what’s going to happen well i think
13:55
you’re going to see an awful lot of
13:57
republicans
13:58
trying to destroy joe biden’s
14:00
administration very quickly
14:01
they’re going to use legislative tactics
14:03
in the senate particularly
14:05
to deny joe biden the ability to do
14:08
coveted relief
14:10
or health care relief for our hospitals
14:13
and doctors and nurses who have suffered
14:15
so badly during the course of covet
14:17
you’re going to see them block his
14:18
appointments as much as they can
14:21
so their idea is to train wreck
14:25
joe biden’s administration the first two
14:27
years
14:28
so they can recapture the senate at the
14:30
same time you’re going to see a whole
14:31
crop
14:32
of new trump-ist style candidates
14:34
emerging tom cotton josh hawley marco
14:36
rubio mike lee
14:38
ted cruz they’re going to all be running
14:40
for president in 2022
14:42
and you’re going to have donald trump
14:43
and his he’s on paper running for
14:46
president
14:46
but you’re also going to see his son
14:48
preparing to run for president 2022
14:51
so there will be a strong set of
14:52
incentives to keep driving that
14:54
authoritarian statism and and that that
14:57
sort of new
14:58
fascism message of trumpism in the next
15:00
two years to four years
15:02
because that is where the republican
15:04
base has been transformed and that’s
15:06
where those people will go and run to
15:07
try to get their votes
15:10
rick thank you very much i hope we can
15:12
talk again in some
15:13
i would love to that’d be great this is
15:15
an ongoing conversation in the world
15:17
absolutely i’d love to i’d love to see
15:19
because this is kind of well this is
15:21
what we experience as you said in many
15:22
other countries as well
15:24
so stay safe thank you very much you too
15:27
great to talk to you on this i’ll talk
15:28
to you soon

RICK WILSON: SAVING AMERICA FROM TRUMP (AND DEMOCRATS FROM THEMSELVES)

Rick Wilson built his career as a star Republican political strategist. But following Donald Trump’s ascendancy during the 2016 campaign, the lifelong conservative became a vocal critic of the new Republican Party. His Twitter feed and columns for The Daily Beast give his followers a hilarious and refreshing take on national politics.

In his new book, Running Against the Devil: A Plot to Save America from Trump, Wilson gives Left-leaning and anti-Trump voters a guidebook to win again in 2020. As a conservative strategist against Trump, Wilson critiques what he sees as Democrats’ inability to run the campaign and candidate needed to beat Trump. Wilson analyzes the damage that Trump has done and predicts the prospective damage Trump could bring in the next four years. Drawing on his plethora of political experience, Wilson exposes the tactics that brought Trump to victory in 2016—and the tactics that he will use again in 2020.

Throughout Running Against the Devil, Wilson gives Democrats the tools to avoid the impending catastrophe of Trump’s 2020 victory. In this way, Wilson provides essential and much-needed advice for progressives, conservatives and civic participants to change the course of America’s future.

Rick Wilson, “Everything Trump Touches Dies”

42:43
there is actually a table in the Truman
42:45
White House where he played poker every
42:47
night and before he went to bed they
42:49
would actually put a cover on the poker
42:51
table to disguise the fact that Truman
42:54
was playing poker because it was bad or
42:58
seeing you know unfortunately I’m I’m
43:00
wondering in in light of this and in
43:02
light of this president um I used to
43:04
sort of respect the office of the
43:06
presidency and in in you know even the
43:09
ones that I disagreed with and that you
43:11
know several um now that we have seen
43:15
this guy you know go crazy on Twitter
43:16
and the potential for having colluded
43:19
with the foreign power which ruins me at
43:22
my core was in potential ruins me
43:25
I Corps do you ever see the sanctity of
43:28
office ever returning in the future yeah
43:32
I’m gonna actually shock you with
43:33
something because either the most
43:35
effective theme that was tested during
43:37
George Bush’s W Bush his run for the
43:39
White House the most successful themed
43:42
after compassionate conservatism which
43:44
actually really people believed it
43:45
bought it was restoring honor and
43:47
dignity to the White House because Bill
43:50
Clinton ran it like a frat house now I
43:52
think it’s gonna take a long time for
43:53
people to get back to a point where
43:56
probity and dignity look George
43:57
Washington he thought the most important
44:00
characteristic of a president was first
44:02
not to become a king but the second was
44:04
dignity and you got a guy upstairs rage
44:07
tweeting in the Oval Office are in the
44:09
executive bedroom every night you know
44:11
surrounded by a bed full of filet-o-fish
44:12
rappers and rage tweeting all night and
44:15
it’s hard to think of him as as you know
44:19
a dignified person you got a guy with a
44:21
gigantic chin waddle who thinks he’s
44:23
like babe meat and and he just the whole
44:27
effect of Trump is clownish and so that
44:30
makes it harder to believe in the in
44:32
that stature of the presidency so but
44:34
look it’ll come back there will be the
44:37
next person who’s president one hopes
44:39
will recognize that there’s a value to
44:41
be had by a president who shows dignity
44:44
and strength and quiet rectitude
44:46
sometimes as opposed to being a giant
44:48
rectum all the time so thank you hi
44:54
there hi I know that you have said that
44:58
you have friends in the administration
44:59
and that they call you to moan from time
45:03
to time from time to time yesterday was
45:06
a bad day I bet it was do they do they
45:11
seriously think because at some point a
45:13
credible conservative administration
45:15
will come back to this government is
45:19
anyone in the Trump administration short
45:21
of maybe Jim mattis should probably seek
45:26
employment at say a gas station
45:28
somewhere in the Midwest after this
45:29
because this is going to scar them and
45:32
mark them forever right I mean it it is
45:35
one of the predicates of the book and
45:37
it’s proving itself out time and time
45:38
they don’t even get credit for being
45:41
competent no and here’s the thing when
45:43
they call you what I tell them every
45:45
time for advice
45:46
quit walk out the door now and tell the
45:48
truth walk out the door now and say
45:51
what’s going on but moon do you shred it
45:54
we make him take you to court make him
45:56
make him go to discovery and and they
45:59
they a lot of these people that Trump
46:01
brought in let’s put it this way when
46:04
Trump sends us people to work in the
46:06
administration he’s not sending his best
46:09
thank you thank you
46:13
question out yes I wrote it down because
46:16
I can’t remember what I did 20 seconds
46:19
ago so I say this is someone a young
46:25
recently recent college graduate who’s
46:28
unemployed who probably makes Bernie
46:31
Sanders look like a centrist I actually
46:34
asked Noah Rothman this last year at an
46:37
event at my college and I was looking at
46:42
a University of Chicago poll that said
46:45
that a majority I think it’s 60% of
46:48
people aged 18 to 35 don’t see
46:53
capitalism the sort of core of
46:55
conservative conservativism as the thing
47:00
that can solve the most pressing issues
47:02
of our time and what I asked no last
47:05
year and I’d love to hear it from a you
47:07
know rock-ribbed conservative like
47:09
yourself what can you do to steer maybe
47:14
not people like me but maybe people
47:16
flirting with the idea or the left back
47:19
to the ideas one of the things is that
47:22
my party has to get its head out of its
47:23
own backside on crony capitalism because
47:26
what we’ve done for a long time and what
47:28
this tax bill did was take care of a
47:31
specific industry in the legislation now
47:33
I was told when Barack Obama was
47:35
president that picking winners and
47:36
losers was a bad thing the tax bill
47:39
picked 150 some winners on in the hedge
47:42
fund and wall street world and about 60
47:44
guys out there in the economy and they
47:46
got 85% of the benefits of a tax bill
47:48
that is that requires five percent
47:51
economic growth
47:52
4.1% economic growth to sustain itself
47:55
it’s ridiculous we’re picking winners
47:58
and losers by protecting the coal
47:59
industry which but should be dead by now
48:02
so Republicans have not been a good
48:04
example of free-market capitalism in
48:07
Congress for a long time this goes back
48:09
before Trump I’ve been a critic of this
48:11
of my own party of this before Trump
48:13
where we have decided that free-market
48:16
capitalism is capitalism is great except
48:18
if a guy gave us a big enough donation
48:20
to the super PAC then we’re gonna make
48:22
sure that his industry including it
48:24
could be you know like a dead industry
48:27
industrial sector completely that
48:29
Congress says ok we’re gonna keep buying
48:32
buggy whips from the sky because you
48:34
know the buggy whip industry is the
48:36
heart of American commerce capitalism
48:39
works when it’s tried and you know
48:43
socialism often leads to people starving
48:44
and freezing in the dark so you know and
48:47
I know everyone’s you say oh then
48:48
Norwegian Nations ended our and and and
48:50
the scanty nations yes they’re lovely
48:52
but there be few examples of this that
48:55
don’t scale necessarily to macro
48:58
economies like ours but anyway it’s a
49:00
hard road and it’s gonna have to be
49:01
something that requires some some reform
49:03
and self correction side the GOP to get
49:05
back to a free market and free trade
49:08
capitalism system so thanks thank you I
49:10
right yeah BRIC big fan a great look
49:14
plus one all those lot yes
49:17
does the Trump administration have any
49:19
policy successes for the remainder of
49:23
the Trump administration except by
49:26
tearing down Obama you’re a regulation
49:29
well Donald Trump proved in the very
49:34
first weeks of his administration that
49:36
he can’t pass the legislation I mean the
49:38
the house and the Senate had Obamacare
49:41
repeal cocked and locked it was going to
49:43
be smooth they were going to jam it
49:44
through they were gonna day we’re gonna
49:46
as a leadership member said to me pull
49:48
up Pelosi and smash Obamacare repeal
49:51
through and then the giant man-baby came
49:54
in and started and started interrupting
49:56
and started saying things on Twitter and
49:58
then describing the billa’s meme and so
50:02
there’s a reason they’re sending Trump
50:04
bills to sign that are like
50:06
naming bridges and the post office
50:09
Reform Act you know it’s small ball
50:11
stuff because they don’t trust him with
50:13
the big important stuff so they’re gonna
50:16
keep doing policy changes they’re gonna
50:18
keep doing the pen and the phone that
50:19
they hated Obama for and they’re gonna
50:22
keep doing executive orders even though
50:24
conservatives used to scream their heads
50:26
off Barack Obama is acting like a
50:28
dictator because he’s passing you know
50:30
he’s signing these executive orders and
50:34
he’s got a limited portfolio of things
50:37
he can do I predict he’s gonna keep
50:39
trying to keep the coal industry thing
50:41
moving and the steel tariffs moving
50:42
because he believes those are the key to
50:44
the two West Virginia Pennsylvania Ohio
50:49
you know the whole pencil tucky region
50:51
there and all that so thanks excellent
50:53
great book thanks a lot thank you so
50:55
much a question I haven’t heard from
50:57
anybody is one about the Russians the
51:01
Russian money and the oligarchs what do
51:04
you have to say about that and where are
51:06
the Republicans on this there’s a sort
51:09
of let me give this sort of technical
51:11
description of that there’s a lot of it
51:14
he’s been taking it for a long time
51:16
well well beyond 2016 he is deeply
51:21
embedded with a whole bunch of Russian
51:23
mobsters and has been since the 80s when
51:28
they peel this back and there I’ll tell
51:31
you the reason Donald Trump lives in
51:32
absolute mortal terror where it’s like
51:35
strap on the extra diaper when he
51:37
mentions when they mentioned getting his
51:39
taxes because this is a man who knows
51:42
once they start peeling apart the
51:43
relationships with the banks and with
51:45
the Russian lending and the glown
51:47
guarantees from Russians from like the
51:49
Bank of Cyprus to Deutsche Bank and all
51:51
these other things and they’re by the
51:52
way they’re people who are experts on
51:53
this bike well beyond my knowledge Craig
51:55
ungar’s book is great about this but
51:58
we’re gonna learn that this whole I have
52:01
no business with the oceans I don’t know
52:02
any Russians we’re gonna discover that
52:04
that is a complete fabrication and and
52:07
and the behavior of their campaign yeah
52:10
look Paul Manafort is not a guy you hire
52:12
because you’re like I need someone who’s
52:14
really dedicated to clean government
52:17
he’s a guy you hired because he brings
52:19
in a bunch of money from his friends in
52:21
Moscow and the oligarchs have gotten
52:23
used to buying elections in a lot of
52:24
countries and they played a big role in
52:26
this one and I think you’re gonna see
52:27
that come out not only in the
52:29
investigations that peel back Trump’s
52:31
business and financial and tax records
52:32
but also in the mobile investigation
52:34
itself thank you
52:34
who are the Democrats strongest in
52:37
weakest candidates in 2020 that is a
52:39
great question and I’m not gonna answer
52:41
it I’m gonna tell you what they need not
52:44
who it is the Democrats in 2020 I’m
52:47
gonna give you a scale like a
52:48
thermometer scale right up here right up
52:51
here I’m gonna stand up low higher right
52:52
up here be great on TV kick ass on TV be
52:57
engaging smart witty funny take it to
53:00
Trump let’s just kick his ass on TV all
53:03
the time now so that disqualifies about
53:06
40% of all Democratic candidates we’re
53:08
thinking about it and of course Hillary
53:11
Clinton with the broken robot Act could
53:13
never be that charismatic person okay
53:15
second part raise a butt ton of money
53:18
cuz you’re gonna need it because Trump
53:20
is gonna get the same media vacuum he
53:23
got last time so you’re gonna have to
53:24
buy that exposure you’re gonna have to
53:27
get in that fight and buy it it sucks
53:29
it’s horrible but there’s a lot of money
53:31
out there opposed to Trump and that’s
53:34
the next part now let me give you the
53:36
important part about policy the policy
53:37
part voters didn’t vote for a policy
53:41
with Trump they voted for an emotion
53:42
that emotion was rage they loved it they
53:46
loved that whole act so the Democrats
53:48
need somebody that can activate their
53:49
people and who has great I fight on the
53:53
battlefield we’re gonna actually fight
53:54
on so I look at an Elizabeth Warren that
53:58
schoolmarm technocrat yeah you may love
54:03
her but make her secretary of the
54:04
Treasury or something you know
54:07
and I know people like Oh what about
54:09
avenatti maybe the guys got smack the
54:12
guys got he can shit talk like nobody’s
54:14
business and he’s under Trump’s skin so
54:17
far and you may find somebody else that
54:19
can do that there may be some otherwise
54:21
you start lookin beta or work wins in
54:22
Texas is a long shot that guy wins in
54:24
Texas he’s gonna be a rocket in the
54:28
Democratic Party he will be a guy who
54:30
can
54:30
he’s a giant killer and he’s good on his
54:33
feet and he’s smart and his answer the
54:35
other day on the on the anthem question
54:37
was as good I mean I sat there watching
54:39
that going I wish I’d written that damn
54:42
so thank you we have time for this one
54:46
last question all right
54:47
hook it up thank you
54:51
so I work in polling and I’m very
54:54
curious tell me who so I’m just curious
55:06
what you think where we’re going with
55:08
political polling for the next
55:10
presidential election and really how you
55:13
know I think from my work I’ve seen that
55:15
the general public’s trust in polling
55:17
has just been demolished based yeah yeah
55:20
I think you and I can both acknowledge
55:21
that that 600 sample national polls are
55:24
no longer effective as a tool you know I
55:28
I have a couple of researchers and firms
55:33
that I’ve used and helped put together
55:34
over the years and everything counts in
55:37
large amounts so we’re doing thousands
55:39
and thousands more interviews than we
55:40
ever have and we’re doing robo’s but you
55:42
know we’re overcoming the the inaccuracy
55:44
of it with just sheer volume sheer
55:47
tonnage I think we’re gonna have to
55:51
continue to merge polling with other
55:53
data a consumer data and behavioral data
55:55
and stuff we’re seeing online we were
55:57
able to get much quicker than we have in
55:59
the past but I think as a tracking
56:03
mechanism its god-awful
56:05
as a quantitative exercise it’s it’s a
56:10
train wreck but fortunately as a media
56:14
prompt there’s almost nothing that that
56:17
drives media faster during a campaign
56:19
season than a poll showing somebody up
56:20
down good bad so it’s a longer
56:24
discussion that we could have here and a
56:25
fairly technical one but I’m a big fan
56:29
of way more interviews and and I don’t
56:33
even care about the the the you know the
56:35
trivialities of the inside campaign
56:37
stuff it’s mostly junk these days so
56:39
thank you all right
56:42
[Applause]
56:58
you