ISIS Leader Is Delegating His Powers in Case He Is Killed

“ISIS has learned from that and has formed a structure that can survive the losses of leaders by giving midlevel commanders a degree of autonomy,” the diplomat said. In that structure, the overall operation would not be immediately affected if Mr. Baghdadi were wounded or killed, he said.

.. It is unclear who would replace Mr. Baghdadi as the self-declared caliph if he died, a Kurdish official said. But the official said it could not be Mr. Afri, assuming he is alive, because he is an ethnic Turkmen, and the caliph must be an Arab from the Quraysh tribe of the Prophet Muhammad, as Mr. Baghdadi claims to be.

.. But other analysts said that Mr. Baghdadi’s religious credibility was more significant than any operational prowess.

“Baghdadi is to a certain extent a religious figurehead designed to grant an aura of religious legitimacy and respectability to the group’s operations, while the real power brokers are a core of former military and intelligence officials,” said Matthew Henman, managing editor of IHS Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Center.