Donald Trump’s Electability Paradox

Trump’s im­age re­mains es­pe­cially tox­ic among the com­pon­ents of the “co­ali­tion of the as­cend­ant”—the groups at the core of the mod­ern Demo­crat­ic co­ali­tion that are all in­creas­ing as a share of the elect­or­ate. Sup­port from those grow­ing groups—par­tic­u­larly the mil­len­ni­al gen­er­a­tion, minor­it­ies, and col­lege-edu­cated, single and sec­u­lar whites, es­pe­cially wo­men

.. Fig­ures provided by CNN polling dir­ect­or Jen­nifer Agi­esta, for in­stance, show that while 66 per­cent of Re­pub­lic­an wo­men ex­pressed a fa­vor­able view of Trump in the Decem­ber sur­vey that plummeted to a minus­cule 12 per­cent among all women who are not Re­pub­lic­ans. Fully 81 per­cent of non-Re­pub­lic­an wo­men viewed Trump un­fa­vor­ably.

.. While 83 per­cent of Demo­crat­ic wo­men viewed Clin­ton fa­vor­ably in the latest CNN sur­vey, only 23 per­cent of non-Demo­crat­ic wo­men agreed. Only 19 per­cent of non-Demo­crat­ic men expressed fa­vor­able views of Clin­ton in the CNN poll.