Rick Wilson, “Everything Trump Touches Dies”

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there is actually a table in the Truman
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White House where he played poker every
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night and before he went to bed they
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would actually put a cover on the poker
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table to disguise the fact that Truman
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was playing poker because it was bad or
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seeing you know unfortunately I’m I’m
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wondering in in light of this and in
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light of this president um I used to
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sort of respect the office of the
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presidency and in in you know even the
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ones that I disagreed with and that you
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know several um now that we have seen
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this guy you know go crazy on Twitter
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and the potential for having colluded
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with the foreign power which ruins me at
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my core was in potential ruins me
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I Corps do you ever see the sanctity of
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office ever returning in the future yeah
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I’m gonna actually shock you with
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something because either the most
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effective theme that was tested during
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George Bush’s W Bush his run for the
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White House the most successful themed
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after compassionate conservatism which
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actually really people believed it
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bought it was restoring honor and
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dignity to the White House because Bill
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Clinton ran it like a frat house now I
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think it’s gonna take a long time for
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people to get back to a point where
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probity and dignity look George
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Washington he thought the most important
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characteristic of a president was first
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not to become a king but the second was
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dignity and you got a guy upstairs rage
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tweeting in the Oval Office are in the
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executive bedroom every night you know
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surrounded by a bed full of filet-o-fish
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rappers and rage tweeting all night and
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it’s hard to think of him as as you know
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a dignified person you got a guy with a
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gigantic chin waddle who thinks he’s
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like babe meat and and he just the whole
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effect of Trump is clownish and so that
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makes it harder to believe in the in
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that stature of the presidency so but
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look it’ll come back there will be the
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next person who’s president one hopes
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will recognize that there’s a value to
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be had by a president who shows dignity
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and strength and quiet rectitude
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sometimes as opposed to being a giant
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rectum all the time so thank you hi
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there hi I know that you have said that
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you have friends in the administration
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and that they call you to moan from time
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to time from time to time yesterday was
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a bad day I bet it was do they do they
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seriously think because at some point a
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credible conservative administration
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will come back to this government is
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anyone in the Trump administration short
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of maybe Jim mattis should probably seek
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employment at say a gas station
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somewhere in the Midwest after this
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because this is going to scar them and
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mark them forever right I mean it it is
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one of the predicates of the book and
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it’s proving itself out time and time
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they don’t even get credit for being
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competent no and here’s the thing when
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they call you what I tell them every
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time for advice
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quit walk out the door now and tell the
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truth walk out the door now and say
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what’s going on but moon do you shred it
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we make him take you to court make him
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make him go to discovery and and they
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they a lot of these people that Trump
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brought in let’s put it this way when
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Trump sends us people to work in the
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administration he’s not sending his best
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thank you thank you
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question out yes I wrote it down because
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I can’t remember what I did 20 seconds
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ago so I say this is someone a young
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recently recent college graduate who’s
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unemployed who probably makes Bernie
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Sanders look like a centrist I actually
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asked Noah Rothman this last year at an
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event at my college and I was looking at
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a University of Chicago poll that said
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that a majority I think it’s 60% of
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people aged 18 to 35 don’t see
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capitalism the sort of core of
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conservative conservativism as the thing
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that can solve the most pressing issues
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of our time and what I asked no last
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year and I’d love to hear it from a you
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know rock-ribbed conservative like
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yourself what can you do to steer maybe
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not people like me but maybe people
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flirting with the idea or the left back
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to the ideas one of the things is that
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my party has to get its head out of its
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own backside on crony capitalism because
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what we’ve done for a long time and what
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this tax bill did was take care of a
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specific industry in the legislation now
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I was told when Barack Obama was
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president that picking winners and
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losers was a bad thing the tax bill
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picked 150 some winners on in the hedge
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fund and wall street world and about 60
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guys out there in the economy and they
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got 85% of the benefits of a tax bill
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that is that requires five percent
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economic growth
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4.1% economic growth to sustain itself
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it’s ridiculous we’re picking winners
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and losers by protecting the coal
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industry which but should be dead by now
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so Republicans have not been a good
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example of free-market capitalism in
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Congress for a long time this goes back
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before Trump I’ve been a critic of this
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of my own party of this before Trump
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where we have decided that free-market
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capitalism is capitalism is great except
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if a guy gave us a big enough donation
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to the super PAC then we’re gonna make
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sure that his industry including it
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could be you know like a dead industry
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industrial sector completely that
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Congress says ok we’re gonna keep buying
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buggy whips from the sky because you
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know the buggy whip industry is the
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heart of American commerce capitalism
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works when it’s tried and you know
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socialism often leads to people starving
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and freezing in the dark so you know and
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I know everyone’s you say oh then
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Norwegian Nations ended our and and and
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the scanty nations yes they’re lovely
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but there be few examples of this that
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don’t scale necessarily to macro
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economies like ours but anyway it’s a
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hard road and it’s gonna have to be
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something that requires some some reform
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and self correction side the GOP to get
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back to a free market and free trade
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capitalism system so thanks thank you I
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right yeah BRIC big fan a great look
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plus one all those lot yes
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does the Trump administration have any
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policy successes for the remainder of
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the Trump administration except by
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tearing down Obama you’re a regulation
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well Donald Trump proved in the very
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first weeks of his administration that
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he can’t pass the legislation I mean the
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the house and the Senate had Obamacare
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repeal cocked and locked it was going to
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be smooth they were going to jam it
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through they were gonna day we’re gonna
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as a leadership member said to me pull
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up Pelosi and smash Obamacare repeal
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through and then the giant man-baby came
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in and started and started interrupting
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and started saying things on Twitter and
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then describing the billa’s meme and so
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there’s a reason they’re sending Trump
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bills to sign that are like
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naming bridges and the post office
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Reform Act you know it’s small ball
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stuff because they don’t trust him with
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the big important stuff so they’re gonna
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keep doing policy changes they’re gonna
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keep doing the pen and the phone that
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they hated Obama for and they’re gonna
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keep doing executive orders even though
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conservatives used to scream their heads
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off Barack Obama is acting like a
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dictator because he’s passing you know
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he’s signing these executive orders and
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he’s got a limited portfolio of things
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he can do I predict he’s gonna keep
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trying to keep the coal industry thing
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moving and the steel tariffs moving
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because he believes those are the key to
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the two West Virginia Pennsylvania Ohio
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you know the whole pencil tucky region
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there and all that so thanks excellent
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great book thanks a lot thank you so
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much a question I haven’t heard from
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anybody is one about the Russians the
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Russian money and the oligarchs what do
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you have to say about that and where are
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the Republicans on this there’s a sort
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of let me give this sort of technical
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description of that there’s a lot of it
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he’s been taking it for a long time
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well well beyond 2016 he is deeply
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embedded with a whole bunch of Russian
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mobsters and has been since the 80s when
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they peel this back and there I’ll tell
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you the reason Donald Trump lives in
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absolute mortal terror where it’s like
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strap on the extra diaper when he
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mentions when they mentioned getting his
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taxes because this is a man who knows
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once they start peeling apart the
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relationships with the banks and with
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the Russian lending and the glown
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guarantees from Russians from like the
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Bank of Cyprus to Deutsche Bank and all
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these other things and they’re by the
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way they’re people who are experts on
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this bike well beyond my knowledge Craig
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ungar’s book is great about this but
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we’re gonna learn that this whole I have
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no business with the oceans I don’t know
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any Russians we’re gonna discover that
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that is a complete fabrication and and
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and the behavior of their campaign yeah
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look Paul Manafort is not a guy you hire
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because you’re like I need someone who’s
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really dedicated to clean government
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he’s a guy you hired because he brings
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in a bunch of money from his friends in
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Moscow and the oligarchs have gotten
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used to buying elections in a lot of
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countries and they played a big role in
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this one and I think you’re gonna see
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that come out not only in the
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investigations that peel back Trump’s
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business and financial and tax records
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but also in the mobile investigation
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itself thank you
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who are the Democrats strongest in
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weakest candidates in 2020 that is a
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great question and I’m not gonna answer
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it I’m gonna tell you what they need not
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who it is the Democrats in 2020 I’m
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gonna give you a scale like a
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thermometer scale right up here right up
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here I’m gonna stand up low higher right
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up here be great on TV kick ass on TV be
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engaging smart witty funny take it to
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Trump let’s just kick his ass on TV all
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the time now so that disqualifies about
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40% of all Democratic candidates we’re
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thinking about it and of course Hillary
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Clinton with the broken robot Act could
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never be that charismatic person okay
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second part raise a butt ton of money
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cuz you’re gonna need it because Trump
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is gonna get the same media vacuum he
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got last time so you’re gonna have to
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buy that exposure you’re gonna have to
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get in that fight and buy it it sucks
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it’s horrible but there’s a lot of money
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out there opposed to Trump and that’s
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the next part now let me give you the
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important part about policy the policy
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part voters didn’t vote for a policy
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with Trump they voted for an emotion
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that emotion was rage they loved it they
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loved that whole act so the Democrats
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need somebody that can activate their
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people and who has great I fight on the
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battlefield we’re gonna actually fight
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on so I look at an Elizabeth Warren that
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schoolmarm technocrat yeah you may love
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her but make her secretary of the
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Treasury or something you know
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and I know people like Oh what about
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avenatti maybe the guys got smack the
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guys got he can shit talk like nobody’s
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business and he’s under Trump’s skin so
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far and you may find somebody else that
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can do that there may be some otherwise
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you start lookin beta or work wins in
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Texas is a long shot that guy wins in
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Texas he’s gonna be a rocket in the
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Democratic Party he will be a guy who
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can
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he’s a giant killer and he’s good on his
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feet and he’s smart and his answer the
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other day on the on the anthem question
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was as good I mean I sat there watching
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that going I wish I’d written that damn
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so thank you we have time for this one
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last question all right
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hook it up thank you
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so I work in polling and I’m very
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curious tell me who so I’m just curious
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what you think where we’re going with
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political polling for the next
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presidential election and really how you
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know I think from my work I’ve seen that
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the general public’s trust in polling
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has just been demolished based yeah yeah
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I think you and I can both acknowledge
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that that 600 sample national polls are
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no longer effective as a tool you know I
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I have a couple of researchers and firms
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that I’ve used and helped put together
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over the years and everything counts in
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large amounts so we’re doing thousands
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and thousands more interviews than we
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ever have and we’re doing robo’s but you
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know we’re overcoming the the inaccuracy
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of it with just sheer volume sheer
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tonnage I think we’re gonna have to
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continue to merge polling with other
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data a consumer data and behavioral data
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and stuff we’re seeing online we were
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able to get much quicker than we have in
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the past but I think as a tracking
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mechanism its god-awful
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as a quantitative exercise it’s it’s a
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train wreck but fortunately as a media
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prompt there’s almost nothing that that
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drives media faster during a campaign
56:19
season than a poll showing somebody up
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down good bad so it’s a longer
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discussion that we could have here and a
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fairly technical one but I’m a big fan
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of way more interviews and and I don’t
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even care about the the the you know the
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trivialities of the inside campaign
56:37
stuff it’s mostly junk these days so
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thank you all right
56:42
[Applause]
56:58
you

Trump Hates Those who Serve with Honor

Maybe seven or eight years ago I had a memorable conversation with a former Marine who had served in both Iraq and Afghanistan, and was honorably discharged after being severely wounded by an I.E.D. (He made a full recovery.) Like other military officers I’ve spoken with, he was thoughtful and well-informed, almost a bit of an intellectual — very much someone I could talk to, despite his having had experiences I can’t imagine.
But he was, he said, finding his post-military experience somewhat unsatisfying, because “there’s no honor in civilian life.
Strange to say, I felt that I understood him. I’ve had a wonderful professional life, getting well paid to do work that I enjoy and even amounts to a vocation. Yet I sometimes feel the hankering for something more — a sense of serving a larger purpose, including being willing to make big sacrifices if necessary. And I don’t think I’m alone in having those feelings, or in having special admiration for those public servants, not just in the military, who do live by an honor code.
But if you’re both powerful and corrupt, you don’t admire women and men who serve with honor. On the contrary, you hate and fear them, because their sense of duty may stand in the way of your schemes. And you especially hate the admiration most of us feel for honorable public servants, which makes it hard to brush them aside.
This hatred of honor, I believe, is the link between two big Trump-related stories of the past few days.
One story involved Marie Yovanovitch, the former ambassador to Ukraine whom Trump fired. Ambassadors serve at the pleasure of the president, so this firing wasn’t in itself illegal. What became clear over several days of testimony, however, was that Trump wanted Yovanovitch gone precisely because she insisted on doing her job and serving the nation rather than Trump’s personal interests.
And the reason Trump tried to smear Yovanovitch even as she was testifying was his fury at how she was coming across: as an official who tries to serve with honor. One can only imagine his rage at the standing ovation she received at the end.
The other honor-related story was Trump’s decision — against the wishes of military leaders — to pardon three servicemen accused or convicted of war crimes.
Why did he pardon them? When he first tweeted that he was reviewing their cases, Trump declared, “We train our boys to be killing machines, then prosecute them when they kill.” But it’s precisely because soldiers have the terrible power and responsibility to kill people in the nation’s service that they’re expected to do everything they can to avoid killing indiscriminately. Honorable behavior isn’t an annoying impediment to the use of force, it’s an essential part of what makes our military more than a gang of thugs.
But Trump hates those who serve with honor, and prefers thugs.
That’s the thing about Trumpism. It’s not just an ideology I disagree with; it’s not even merely a cult of personality that celebrates a leader nobody should admire. At its core is a rejection of the values that we used to think defined us as a nation. You might say that Trump is at war with truth, justice, and the American way. And that is, terrifyingly, a war he might win.

Quick Hits

Paul Ryan — remember him? — claims that he didn’t realize that Trump was insulting him by calling him Boy Scout. But of course Boy Scouts are supposed to be honorable.
Some years back, new members of the Foreign Service were told about how professional diplomats have often been unsung heroes. No wonder Trump hates them.
The Founding Fathers passed a resolution honoring whistle-blowers who revealed official misconduct — in 1778!
Why we have rules of war.

Mike Pompeo: Secretary of Hypocrisy

If Pompeo has a sense of honor, he might consider resigning rather than fathering the catastrophe that may soon befall Afghanistan.

It isn’t hard to guess what Mike Pompeo, the hawkish congressman from Kansas, would say about the Afghan exit deal that Mike Pompeo, the secretary of state, is negotiating with the Taliban.

The details of the negotiations, which are being conducted in Qatar by U.S. envoy Zalmay Khalilzad and could be finalized by the end of the month, are a closely held secret. So close, in fact, that I’m told Pompeo won’t allow White House officials to review details of the agreement except in his presence.

But the basic outline is this: a complete withdrawal of America’s 14,000 troops from Afghanistan within 14 months — that is, by October 2020 — in exchange for a promise from the Taliban not to attack our forces on the way out, along with some kind of vague assurance from them that Afghanistan will not again become a base for global terrorism. A source familiar with the deal says there is no explicit requirement for the Taliban to renounce its ties to Al Qaeda.

Even those who want the U.S. to leave Afghanistan, come what may, should be dismayed to see an American strategic decision be so nakedly dictated by the electoral needs of a president who wants to take credit for ending “endless wars.” They should be no less dismayed by the idea that we are doing so in plain indifference to Afghanistan’s government, which wasn’t invited to the talks because the Taliban won’t deign to speak to what it considers a puppet government.

That “puppet” government is, for all of its well-known flaws, internationally recognized and democratically elected. It does not wantonly massacre its own people, or wage war on its neighbors, or sponsor terrorist groups that seek to wage war on the West. And it’s also all that will stand between the Taliban’s murderous misogyny and Afghanistan’s 18 million vulnerable women.

Then again, progressives have been pining for an Afghan exit for at least a decade, and Barack Obama set a timetable for full withdrawal (which he was later forced to reverse in the face of Taliban gains) in 2014. Foreign-policy hawks in the mold of Pompeo used to take a different view about the wisdom of U.S. retreat — at least before they became Donald Trump flunkies.

For starters, they had no patience for the lie that the Taliban was to Al Qaeda merely what a flea motel is to a fugitive on the lam. The Taliban lied to Clinton administration envoy Bill Richardson in 1998 by telling him they didn’t know of Osama bin Laden’s whereabouts when they were harboring him, and then refused to give him up after the 9/11 attacks.

They’d have even less patience for the convenient fantasy that the Afghan Taliban has, or ever will, part ways with its brothers in global jihad. The deputy leader of the Taliban is Sirajuddin Haqqani, who also leads the Haqqani Network that has been entwined with Al Qaeda since its earliest days.

“There is not a scintilla of evidence that the network is willing to break with Al Qaeda,” notes Thomas Joscelyn of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. “Even if the Taliban were to renounce A.Q. and attacks on the West, which they have never done, you’d need a verification mechanism. But if you withdraw all Western troops, there is no verification.”

What about the case for ending a long war? That’s always desirable, and every death in war is a tragedy. But a hawk might also note that U.S. endured just 14 fatalities in Afghanistan in 2018, and that a U.S. service member is far more likely to die in a training accident than in combat. At some point, describing our current involvement in the country as a “war” stretches semantic credibility when compared to past U.S. conflicts.

Against the human (and budgetary) cost of our presence in Afghanistan, hawks would tally the cost of withdrawal. Even liberals like former Defense Secretary Leon Panetta criticized Obama for withdrawing too hastily from Iraq, thereby creating the power vacuum that ISIS quickly filled. It was a fiasco that ended only when Obama was forced to return U.S. troops to Iraq a few years later.

Why should a similar scenario not play out in Afghanistan? It’s true that ISIS and the Taliban are rivals, but any administration willing to entrust the Taliban with being a bulwark against global terrorism is even more gullible than the poor saps who paid money for a Trump University training program.

Hawks once understood this — just as they understood that America paid a steep price in strategic and moral credibility when it bugged out of its international commitments, squandered the sacrifices of American troops for the immediate political benefit of a sitting president, and betrayed the vulnerable populations we had endeavored to protect against a barbaric enemy.

Don’t just take it from me. “As a former Army officer, it is gravely concerning to see any president of the United States play politics with critical national security issues,” one conservative lawmaker said in 2011 of Obama’s initial decision to begin a drawdown of U.S. forces. “This decision puts both the lives of American troops and the gains made on the ground in Afghanistan at risk.”

That lawmaker was — who else? — Mike Pompeo. If the secretary has a sense of shame, he might consider apologizing to Obama for adopting the same policy he once so loudly denounced. If he has a sense of honor, he might consider resigning rather than fathering the catastrophe that may soon befall Afghanistan. I’m confident he’ll do neither.

Diversity, Inclusion and Anti-Excellence

A former dean of the Yale Law School sounds a warning.

Anyone who has followed the news from college campuses over the past few years knows they are experiencing forms of unrest unseen since the late 1960s.

Now, as then, campuses have become an arena for political combat. Now, as then, race is a central issue. Now, as then, students rail against an unpopular president and an ostensibly rigged system. Now, as then, liberal professors are being bullieddenounceddemotedthreatenedsued and sometimes even assaulted by radical students.

But there are some important differences, too. None of today’s students risk being drafted into an unpopular, distant war. Unlike the campus rebels of the ’60s, today’s student activists don’t want more freedom to act, speak, and think as they please. Usually they want less.

Most strange: Today’s students are not chafing under some bow-tied patriarchal WASP dispensation. Instead, they are the beneficiaries of a system put in place by professors and administrators whose political views are almost uniformly left-wing and whose campus policies indulge nearly every progressive orthodoxy.

So why all the rage?

The answer lies in the title of Anthony Kronman’s necessary, humane and brave new book: “The Assault on American Excellence.” Kronman’s academic credentials are impeccable — he has taught at Yale for 40 years and spent a decade as dean of its law school — and his politics, so far as I can tell, are to the left of mine.

But Yale has been ground zero for recent campus unrest, including a Maoist-style struggle session against a distinguished professor, fights about “cultural appropriation,” the renaming of Calhoun (as in, John C.) College, and the decision to drop the term “master” because, to some, it carried “a painful and unwelcome connotation.”

It’s this last decision that seems to have triggered Kronman’s alarm. The word “master” may remind some students of slavery. What it really means is a person who embodies achievement, refinement, distinction — masterliness — and whose spirit is fundamentally aristocratic. Great universities are meant to nurture that spirit, not only for its own sake, but also as an essential counterweight to the leveling and conformist tendencies of democratic politics that Alexis de Tocqueville diagnosed as the most insidious threats to American civilization.

What’s happening on campuses today isn’t a reaction to Trump or some alleged systemic injustice, at least not really. Fundamentally, Kronman argues, it’s a reaction against this aristocratic spirit — of being, as H.L. Mencken wrote, “beyond responsibility to the general masses of men, and hence superior to both their degraded longings and their no less degraded aversions.” It’s a revolt of the mediocre many against the excellent few. And it is being undertaken for the sake of a radical egalitarianism in which all are included, all are equal, all are special.

“In endless pronouncements of tiresome sweetness, the faculty and administrators of America’s colleges and universities today insist on the overriding importance of creating a culture of inclusion on campus,” Kronman writes.

This is a bracing, even brutal, assessment. But it’s true. And it explains why every successive capitulation by universities to the shibboleths of diversity and inclusion has not had the desired effect of mollifying campus radicals. On the contrary, it has tended to generate new grievances while debasing the quality of intellectual engagement.

Hence the new campus mores. Before an idea can be evaluated on its intrinsic merits, it must first be considered in light of its political ramifications. Before a speaker can be invited to campus for the potential interest of what he might have to say, he must first pass the test of inoffensiveness. Before a student can think and talk for himself, he must first announce and represent his purported identity. Before a historical figure can be judged by the standards of his time, he must first be judged by the standards of our time.

All this is meant to make students “safe.” In fact, it leaves them fatally exposed. It emboldens offense-takers, promotes doublethink, coddles ignorance. It gets in the way of the muscular exchange of honest views in the service of seeking truth. Above all, it deprives the young of the training for independent mindedness that schools like Yale are supposed to provide.

I said earlier that Kronman’s book is brave, but in that respect I may be giving him too much credit. Much of his illustrious career is now safely behind him; he can write as he pleases. Would an untenured professor have the guts to say what he does? The answer to the question underscores the urgency of his warning.