How Hillary Loses

Donald Trump can actually win if Clinton makes these four mistakes. Spoiler alert: She’s already making all of them.

.. If you drill down enough, it’s clear there are at least four paths to a loss, and any one of them poses a real risk for a candidate likely to follow her usual careful, calculating playbook.

.. Step 1: Take Hispanic enthusiasm for granted

.. Yes, their numbers are growing. But Hispanics simply don’t like Clinton nearly as much as they like Obama

.. Step 2: Alienate the young

.. Step 3: Let establishment Republicans find another place to go

.. Step 4: Fumble on trade

.. Polls show that union households tend to oppose free trade quite strongly. Sanders has made free trade a centerpiece of his primary campaign against Clinton. Trump, hoping to woo Sanders voters, frequently praises his position on that issue.