How to Invent A Middle-Class Tax Hike

A case study in how Washington math distorts reality.

But in some earlier years Joint Tax shows tax increases. For example: In 2023 the average tax rate for folks earning $20,000 to $30,000 would increase to 4.2% from 3.7% under present law, or so the budget lords say.

Recall that the Senate bill repeals the ObamaCare penalty on folks who decline to buy health insurance. This “saves” money under the Senate’s bonkers budget rules. Joint Tax assumes the following:

Some folks may choose not to buy ObamaCare, though the plans and relevant subsidies will still be available. As a result of all this human freedom, some taxpayers may not claim the Affordable Care Act’s tax credits. Presto! A Republican tax increase on the poor and middle class.

.. Senator Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania exposed this logic: “Let’s imagine somebody qualifies for unemployment insurance” but chooses not to sign up. Then they wouldn’t receive unemployment benefits. “Did that person just get a tax increase?”

The answer is so obvious that only intelligent people could get it wrong.

How Hurricane Harvey Will Ripple Through the U.S. Economy

Economists in The Wall Street Journal’s monthly survey see hit to GDP and jobs in third quarter, followed by slow rebuild

Hurricane Harvey will distort measures of the U.S. economy in weeks and months ahead. Everything from jobless claims, which already surged in a report on Thursday, to gross domestic product and inflation, will be knocked off course by the storm.

The storm will make it difficult for economists to gauge the trajectory of the economy, with brief spikes across a wide range of reports. It will be hard to discern whether bad reports result from storm damage and then whether good reports owe to the effects of rebuilding. It could be well into 2018 before the storm’s effects have fully washed out of the economic data.

.. They expect the storm to reduce the pace of job gains by about 27,000 jobs a month in the third quarter on average, followed by little change in the fourth quarter and then a boost of 13,000 in the first quarter 2018, as many people find work in the rebuilding process.

..The growth rate of gross domestic product will fall by about 0.3 percentage points in the third quarter, they expect, followed by no effect on the fourth quarter, and an 0.2 percentage point boost in the first quarter of 2018.

..In the longer run, the storm is expected to have no lasting impact, with forecasts for gross domestic product, unemployment, inflation and other major economic indicators unchanged for 2018 overall, 

One Theory Over Meaning of Trump’s ‘Many Sides’ Remark

Mr. Trump seems to have concluded what many other conservatives did about the tragedy in Charlottesville, Va.: As tragic as it was, it was incited by a small, unrepresentative group of bigots purporting to speak for the right whose antics would be exhaustively covered in the news.

.. “They think there were 300 or so racists who showed up to a rally, and who got exactly what they wanted: Violence, and violence in a way that inspires the nation’s elite to double down on iconoclasm in a way they hope grows their movement,” said Ben Domenech, the publisher of The Federalist, an online magazine.

.. Mr. Trump and conservatives have pointed to several recent episodes as evidence of the left gone mad.

  • They include the comedian Kathy Griffin’s posing for a picture with a fake severed Trump head, and
  • a production of Shakespeare’s “Julius Caesar” that featured a Trump-like actor as the emperor who is fatally stabbed onstage.
  • Some seized on the shooting that seriously injured Representative Steve Scalise
  •  One recent web video from the National Rifle Association accused liberals of attempting to “bully and terrorize the law abiding” as it implored Americans to “fight this violence of lies with the clenched fist of truth.”

..  Of at least 372 murders that were committed by domestic extremists between 2007 and 2016, according to a study by the Anti-Defamation League,

  • 74 percent were committed by right-wing extremists.
  • Muslim extremists were responsible for 24 percent of those killings,
  • and the small remainder were committed by left-wing extremists

.. the emphasis for many conservatives is not on statistics that indicate who is the more violent offender. Rather, he said, the point is about the general tenor of political debate, which people like him believe is weighted against them.

.. “You don’t have a ton of reporters banging on the doors of Democrats asking them to denounce Antifa,” he said, referring to the militant Marxist-inspired group that rioted at Mr. Trump’s inauguration and often shows up looking for confrontation at sites where conservative writers like Ann Coulter and Milo Yiannopoulos are scheduled to speak.

.. Mr. Trump is no mere bit player in the discussion of political violence. At various times, he has offered to pay the legal bills of supporters who get in brawls at his events and stated, without offering any proof, that paid agitators were responsible for protests against him.

.. Alex Jones .. said people who protested the white supremacists over the weekend were probably actors

.. Mr. Jones played down the significance of the violence, saying it was likely staged by “Democratic Party activists” who are looking to “overdemonize” whites and “put chips on the shoulders of the so-called minorities.”

.. Demographically, blacks are 12 times more likely to attack whites for no reason,” Mr. Jones went on, providing no evidence for his claim. “It’s a fact.”

.. He then recounted his own experience watching a Nazi rally he said was attended by Jews posing as Nazis, evident by their “curly hair, and you know, dark eyes.”

.. Mike Cernovich, a conspiracy theory peddler, was gleeful as he posted on Twitter about the violence on Saturday. “Civil War is here!” he wrote.

.. There is also a new political term to describe the circular firing squad in which right and left have blamed the other for the country’s degenerating political debate — “whataboutism.”

.. Guy Benson, a conservative writer and an author of the book “End of Discussion,” which argues that the left has tried to shut down political debate by declaring certain topics off the table, said he sees a “whataboutism overreach” among some conservatives.

.. “Round and round we go with this one-upsmanship of who’s worse,” Mr. Benson added, “and that’s a really terrible way to argue.”

PostgreSQL, Aggregates and Histograms

Let’s have a look at our dataset from the NBA games and statistics, and get back to counting rebounds in the drb field. A preliminary query informs us that we have stats ranging from 10 to 54 rebounds per team in a single game, a good information we can use in the following query:

  <span class="keyword">select</span> width_bucket(drb, <span class="number">10</span>, <span class="number">54</span>, <span class="number">9</span>) <span class="keyword">as</span> buckets,
         <span class="keyword">count</span>(*)
    <span class="keyword">from</span> team_stats
<span class="keyword">group</span> <span class="keyword">by</span> buckets
<span class="keyword">order</span> <span class="keyword">by</span> buckets;

We asked for 9 separations so we have 10 groups as a result:

 width_bucket | count 
--------------+-------
            1 |    52
            2 |  1363
            3 |  8832
            4 | 20917
            5 | 20681
            6 |  9166
            7 |  2093
            8 |   247
            9 |    20
           10 |     1
(10 rows)